Oil prices fell on the fears of Coronavirus outbreak
Oil prices fell on the fears of Coronavirus outbreak
The oil
prices fell slightly on the fears of Coronavirus outbreak in China. Brent crude
futures were down $0.88, or 1.39%, at $62.33 a barrel. The Brent futures fell
to lowest price in last six weeks. There are concerns that the spread of a
respiratory virus from China could lower fuel demand if it stunts economic
growth in an echo of the SARS epidemic nearly 20 years ago.
On Thursday,
China put on lockdown two cities that were at the epicenter of a new
coronavirus outbreak that has killed 17 people and infected nearly 600 as
health authorities around the world scrambled to prevent a global pandemic.
The
potential for a pandemic has stirred memories of the Sudden Acute Respiratory
Syndrome (SARS) outbreak in 2002-03, which also started in China and dented
economic growth and caused a slump in travel.
Cases have
been detected as far away as the United States and global stock markets were
also down in part due to fears of the virus spreading further as millions of
Chinese prepare to travel for the Lunar New Year.
Beijing said
on Thursday that it had cancelled major public events, including two well-known
Lunar New Year temple fairs, to curb the spread.
“We estimate
a price shock of up to $5 (a barrel) if the crisis develops into a SARS-style
epidemic based on historical oil price movements,” JPM Commodities Research
said in a note.
The US bank
maintained its forecast for Brent to average $67 a barrel in the first quarter
and $64.50 a barrel throughout 2020.
With the
city of Wuhan quarantined and panic growing as the virus spreads, travel — and
with it, demand for oil — is expected to decline as fewer people take to the
roads, tracks or sky. Brent crude has dropped almost 6 per cent this week to
$62 a barrel, its lowest since early December.
Most traders are pointing to the coronavirus
as the cause of the sell-off. Traders, after all, should always be on guard for
supply disruptions such as Iranian threats to the Strait of Hormuz or the loss
of exports from Libya. But a new virus with the potential to hammer travel
plans in China, the world’s largest oil importer, is harder to see coming.
Traders may not yet grasp the full impact. But for oil bulls already wavering
in their conviction after the market failed to rally on events in Iran and
Libya, it is safer to sell now and worry about the final toll later. Business correspondent
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