AJK assembly elections- PTI will emerge as the single largest party but fell short of simple majority
Insight247.news projections of all the 45 constituencies
From 1970 to
2016 election results in AJK clearly shows that the party in power in Islamabad
always has an advantage in the elections in AJK. The people prefer to vote for
the party who is in the power in Islamabad because GB, AJK also depends on
federal government in Pakistan to get funds. The people look to the federal
government for employment and development works.
In this
regard PTI has an advantage in this election. PML-N won more than two thirds of
seats in 2016 elections because it was in the power in Pakistan. In 2011, PPP
won half of the seats. So PTI is in a better position to win more seats in July
25 elections.
Sometimes,
results do not represent the popular sentiment as the result of rigging and
manipulation. We are confident that elections will be held free, transparent
and fair.
We are
making projections based on the surveys and on ground information. The results
might be different due to different factors. These projections have been made
on the basis that elections will be conducted as free, transparent and fair
manner. The interference of different forces might completely change the
results.
There are 45 general seats on the grab in July 25 elections. 33 seats are in the 10 districts of AJK while 12 seats are in Pakistan for Kashmiri refugees.
Our projections
PTI- 15 seats
(10 seats from AJK and 05 based in Pakistan)
PPP- 12 seats
(10 seats from AJK while 02 out of 12 based in Pakistan)
PML-N – 14
seats
(09 out
of 33 based in AJK while 05 out of 12 based in Pakistan)
MC (Muslim
Conference)- 03 seats
JKPP
(Jammu Kashmir Peoples Party)- 01
Here are our
constituency wise projections
LA-1
Mirpur (i)- PML-N is leading
LA-2
Mirpur (ii)- PPP is leading-
LA-3
Mirpur (iii)- PTI is leading-
LA-4
Mirpur (iv)- PML-N is leading-
LA-5
Bhimber (i)- PPP is leading
LA-6
Bhimber (ii)- PTI is leading
LA-7
Bhimber (iii)- PML-N is leading
LA-8
Kotli-(i)- MC is leading
LA-9
Kotli-(ii) -PPP is leading
LA-10
Kotli (iii) -MC is leading
LA-11,
Kotli-(iv)- PML-N is leading
LA-12 Kotli (v)- PPP is leading
LA-13 Kotli VI-PTI is leading
LA-14
Bagh (i)- MC is leading
LA-15
Bagh (ii)- PTI is leading
LA-16
Bagh(iii)- PPP is leading
LA-17 Bagh(iv)-
PPP is leading
LA-18 Poonch(i)-
PTI is leading
LA-19
Poonch(ii)- PPP is leading
LA-20,
Poonch(iii)- PPP is leading
LA-21,
Poonch(iv)- JKPP is leading
LA-22
Poonch(v) – PTI is leading
LA-23
Sudhnuti(i)- PML-N is leading
LA-24,
Sudhnuti(ii)- PTI is leading
LA-25 Neelum(i)-
PML-N is leading
LA-26 Neelum(ii)-
PPP is leading
LA-27
Muzaffarabad(i)- PTI is leading
LA-28
Muzaffarabad(ii)- PTI is leading
LA-29
Muzaffarabad (iii) PML-N is leading
LA-30
Muzaffarabad (iv)- PML-N is leading
LA-31
Muzaffarabad (v)- PPP is leading
LA-32 Muzaffarabad
(vi) PML-N is leading
LA-33
Muzaffarabad (vii)- PTI is leading
LA-34
Jammu (i) – PPP is leading
LA-35
Jammu (ii)- PML-N is leading
LA-36
Jammu (iii) – PML-N is leading
LA-37
Jammu (ii) -PTI is leading
LA-38
Jammu (v) PTI is leading
LA-39
Jammu (vi)- PTI is leading
LA-40
Valley (i) -PPP is leading
LA-41
Valley - (iv)- PML-N is leading
LA-42
Valley (iii)- PML-N is leading
LA-43
Valley (iv) PML-N is leading
LA-44
Valley (v) PTI is leading
LA-45
Valley (vi)- PTI is leading
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