PML-N is slightly ahead while PTI is closely behind in latest IPOR survey

 PML-N is enjoying 15% lead over PTI in Punjab while PPP is way ahead of its rivals in Sindh-PTI is leading in KP and BAP in Baluchistan

According to the latest Institute of Public Opinion Research (IPOR) survey, PML-N has a slight edge against PTI. 29% people said that they would vote for PML-N if elections are held today. 28% said that they would vote for PTI in case of an election today.

But matter of concern for PTI is the fact that since 2018 general elections, PTI has lost 4% support while PML-N has gained 5% support. PPP also gained 2% support and now stands at 15% nationally.  This was the opinion of those surveyed by IPOR. The sample size of the survey was 3,700 and it was conducted from Dec 22 to January 9, 2022.

The other real matter of concern for PTI is the popularity of PML-N in Punjab. PML-N is now enjoying 15% lead over PTI in Punjab. Punjab has 141 general seats of National Assembly out of 272. It means PML-N in a position to win most seats from Punjab. PTI has lost considerable support in the largest province of the country since 2018 general elections. It should be a real matter of concern for PTI.  

According to an Institute of Public Opinion Research (IPOR) survey, the PML-N is the most popular party in Punjab, with the support of 46% of people in case of early elections. The PTI is second with 31% voters’ backing. About 5% will vote for the PPP, 3% for the TLP, while 2%intend to vote for the PMLQ.

The PPP is the most popular party in Sindh with 44% voters supporting it. PPP is enjoying 31% lead over its closet rival PTI.  With 13%, the PTI is the second choice of voters in Sindh. Over 7% will vote for the MQM-Pakistan, 3% for the TLP, 3% for the PMLN, while 1% for the ANP.

The PTI enjoys the support of 44% of voters in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, while 17% back the Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (JUI-F). Over 11% will vote for the ANP, 11% for the PMLN, 7% for the PPP, 3% for Jamaat-e-Islami (JI), while 1% of people will vote for the Qaumi Watan Party of Aftab Sherpao.

In Baluchistan, the ruling Baluchistan Awami Party (BAP) is the first choice of 20% of voters. Over 18% of people will vote for the PTI, while 15% would back the PPP, 14% PML-N, 8% JUIF, 5% Balochistan National Party, 5% like the PKMAP, while 2% from the province back the ANP.

In the poll, the IPOR also asked the public if they had voted for the PTI in the 2018 general election. To which, 44% answered “yes” while 54% said “no.” The 44%, who had voted for the PTI in 2018, were asked if they would vote for the PTI in 2023 as well. Over 52% expressed their intention not to vote for the PTI in the next general election, but 40% said they would once again support the PTI.

As many as 33 percent of the respondents said Nawaz Sharif can solve their and problems and those of Pakistan, while 30 percent said Prime Minister Imran Khan can do wonders for the country, while 10 percent attached their hopes with PPP Chairperson Bilawal Bhutto. On the burning question of former PM Nawaz Sharif's return to Pakistan, majority 68pc of the respondents said the former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif should return to Pakistan.

                                                                     Khalid Bhatti 


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